One of the many problems with folk nowadays, outside of having an attention span shorter than a goldfish (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2016/03/12/humans-have-shorter-attention-span-than-goldfish-thanks-to-smart/), is desire for instant gratification… like an addict, we want our fix, here and now.
How long did it take for Bitcoin, a pioneer in the field to hit its stride, price wise, before people realized that it had some value, if for nothing else, than as a mere storage of value, akin to gold? It launched in January, 2009, and I’d say it took about 4-5 years before it really sank in with people that there was something to it. It really took off mid-2016 and onward.
Since ADA isn’t a first mover, we can’t expect this kind of uptake in a field where we have BTC knock-offs galore, and maybe fewer than a handful of crypto-currencies that offer some value, amongst which Cardano is at the upper end, if not the top.
So conservatively speaking, for the cracks in PoW-based currencies to truly show and sink in with people, as they realize the kind of value Ada provides in terms of being a future based glue of all crypto-currencies and legacy included, in addition to its highly sophisticated approach to privacy vs accountability/regulation/transparency, I would say you’re looking at least another 4-5 years before its price can hit its stride and large/r entities become interested in it by buying up Ada to do anything and everything imaginable atop its settlement layer, plus the smart contracts layer by then. To really get a return, my guess would be about 10 years.
This isn’t a joke, or some indulgence…get rich quick, buy me a lambo kind of project. It has the potential to upend every known crypto-currency in existence, as well as legacy currencies (value stable included), over the next few decades, if God willing, everything goes to plan and these guys who are pouring their heart and soul into this stick around for the long haul instead of jumping ship, a trend which is all too common among high tech people, who are looking for the next quick fix, the next sweet taste in their mouth, never staying the course, putting in the time, commitment, the blood on the floor, so to speak, to see something as monumental as this come to fruition.
I’ve never seen even remotely the kind of interest from academia in -any- other crypto-currency, and I take it as a good sign, because typically, when academics get involved, under good guidance/leadership such as provided by IOHK and the good folk at Cardano Foundation, some marvelous things can happen that can stay with us for decades… This kind of amalgamation between academia and industry is very rare, but it can provide lasting value and pay off massive dividends in the end. Take for example Qualcomm, who was started by a similar group of people - academics and engineers at heart… today, the world runs on their CDMA/LTE chipsets. Qualcomm is as much of an engineering as it is an academic outfit, at least at its outset it was.
Cardano has all the markings of a similar venture. Now please, let them work and stop with the inane price insinuations.
Thank you!